1. Introduction: of kingmakers and game-changers
2. The view from within: military reasons
Institutional capacity: because they can
Military interests: because they want to
3. The company they keep: socio-political reasons
Civil-military relations undone: because there is nobody else
Social capital: because they're allowed to
4. Models of non-political armies
The failed force who couldn't: Iraq, Libya, Yemen
The professional force who won't: Lebanon, Tunisia
5. Models of potentially political armies
The capable force that is checked: Jordan, Syria, Saudi Arabia
The Jordanian military: from tribal to royal
The political force which will: Egypt, Algeria
Conclusion: the four preconditions of coups, and their aftermath.